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[IKTinfo] PDC market to decline again this year, then grow marginally until 2026

Date of publication: 10.1.2023

Analyst firm IDC estimates that fewer personal computing devices (PCDs) will be shipped to market in 2022 than in 2021 across all segments - close to 10% fewer in the consumer segment and 4% fewer in the enterprise segment, nearly 23% fewer in the public sector and just over 13% fewer in the small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) segment. Overall, the market for PCD devices, which include desktop and notebook computers, including workstations, and tablets, declined by 11.9 percent last year compared to 2021, to 456.8 million units. For 2023, IDC forecasts a decline of around half in both the PC market (down 5.6 percent to 281 million units) and the tablet market (down 6.7 percent to 148 million units). Over the entire period 2022-2026, the enterprise segment will register a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.5 percent and the SME segment 1.2 percent, while the consumer and public sectors will experience CAGRs of 0.5 percent and 0.7 percent respectively. For the period 2024-2026, IDC forecasts an accelerated replacement of older device models in the enterprise segment, as well as in education and home, also due to the transition to Windows 11.

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The C19 pandemic and the measures taken to contain it, and now the war in Ukraine, are also having a major impact on the ICT sector, as confirmed by research and analysis in almost all segments of the industry. A particular feature of ICT is that it allows us to predict, monitor, study and control changes not only in our own industry but in all others, which has been a valuable help to all of us over the last two years. In fact, ICT helps companies and institutions in all industries to organise their work, adapt their operations, discover new opportunities, process data and obtain estimates and forecast future trends.

Last but not least, ICT enables schools and universities to implement hybrid versions of teaching and to digitise learning processes in a meaningful way.

This is why we have decided to publish regular summaries of information, assessments, analyses and studies by research and analyst companies that can help everyone to better monitor, learn about and understand changes and trends and to adapt more successfully to the new ICT era.

Prepared by the Chair of Information and Communication Technologies in collaboration with Esad Jakupović

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