[IKTinfo] Trg kvantnega računalništva bo rasel počasneje kot je bilo napovedano

Date of publication: 23.10.2023

Analyst firm IDC has published its second forecast for the global quantum computing market, which is significantly lower than the 2021 forecast. The company predicts that the market will grow from €1.04 billion in 2022 to €7.22 billion in 2027, with an average annual growth rate of 48.1% over the five-year period, and the forecast includes basic quantum computing as a service and everything that enables it. The downgrade is driven by a reduction in spending on quantum computing, which is due to several factors: slower development of quantum hardware, which is likely to increase the time to return on investment, the emergence of other technologies such as AI that can offer more short-term value to users, and a combination of macroeconomic factors such as higher interest and inflation rates and the prospect of an economic downturn. IDC expects the quantum computing market to continue to experience slower growth until a major shift in quantum hardware development heralds major quantum advances. Until then, most of the growth will be driven by the maturing of quantum computing as a service infrastructure and platform and the growth of performance-intensive computing workloads suitable for quantum technology. The analyst firm also forecasts that investment in the quantum computing market will grow at an average annual rate of 11.5% over the period 2023-2027, reaching $16.4 billion in 2027. This includes investment from public and private institutions, internal reallocations (for research and development) from technology and service partners, and external funding from outside companies. Of particular significance is the growing interest in quantum computing from 14 global government agencies in 13 countries and the EU, which will generate billions of dollars over several years. The new billions of euros are accelerating software and hardware development and are expected to contribute to solving some of the problems of deploying quantum solutions as well as to the integration of quantum computing, artificial intelligence and high performance computing (HPC).

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The economy, manufacturing, education and other sectors have been subject to increased pressures and changes in recent years as a result of the pandemic and the measures taken to contain it, as well as the Russia-Ukraine war, as confirmed by various surveys and analyses. The Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) sector is also exposed to similar changes, but at the same time it is able to monitor, assess and control changes not only in its own sector but also in all other sectors, which has been a valuable help to all of them in recent years.

ICT helps businesses and institutions in all industries to organise work, adapt operations, streamline operations, process data, evaluate results, predict trends and discover new opportunities. And they enable schools and universities to implement hybrid forms of teaching and meaningful digitisation of learning processes.

This is why we have decided to publish regular summaries of information, assessments, analyses and studies by research and analyst companies that can help everyone to better monitor, learn about and understand changes and trends and to adapt more successfully to the new ICT era.

Prepared by the Department of Information and Communication Technologies in collaboration with Esad Jakupović

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